| Decision Payout Value | |||||||||||
| Second Order Source Cell : Probability of Finding Oil | |||||||||||
| EMV | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.04 | 0.07 | 0.09 | 0.11 | 0.13 | 0.16 | 0.18 | 0.20 | |
| First Order Source Cell : Drill for Oil | -200000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7778 | 44333 | 80889 | 117444 | 154000 |
| -188889 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18889 | 55444 | 92000 | 128556 | 165111 | |
| -177778 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30000 | 66556 | 103111 | 139667 | 176222 | |
| -166667 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4556 | 41111 | 77667 | 114222 | 150778 | 187333 | |
| -155556 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15667 | 52222 | 88778 | 125333 | 161889 | 198444 | |
| -144444 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26778 | 63333 | 99889 | 136444 | 173000 | 209556 | |
| -133333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1333 | 37889 | 74444 | 111000 | 147556 | 184111 | 220667 | |
| -122222 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12444 | 49000 | 85556 | 122111 | 158667 | 195222 | 231778 | |
| -111111 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23556 | 60111 | 96667 | 133222 | 169778 | 206333 | 242889 | |
| -100000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 34667 | 71222 | 107778 | 144333 | 180889 | 217444 | 254000 | |
| Decision Choices | |||||||||||
| Second Order Source Cell : Probability of Finding Oil | |||||||||||
| Fork Selected | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.04 | 0.07 | 0.09 | 0.11 | 0.13 | 0.16 | 0.18 | 0.20 | |
| First Order Source Cell : Drill for Oil | -200000 | Don't Drill | Don't Drill | Don't Drill | Don't Drill | Don't Drill | Drill | Drill | Drill | Drill | Drill |
| -188889 | Don't Drill | Don't Drill | Don't Drill | Don't Drill | Don't Drill | Drill | Drill | Drill | Drill | Drill | |
| -177778 | Don't Drill | Don't Drill | Don't Drill | Don't Drill | Don't Drill | Drill | Drill | Drill | Drill | Drill | |
| -166667 | Don't Drill | Don't Drill | Don't Drill | Don't Drill | Drill | Drill | Drill | Drill | Drill | Drill | |
| -155556 | Don't Drill | Don't Drill | Don't Drill | Don't Drill | Drill | Drill | Drill | Drill | Drill | Drill | |
| -144444 | Don't Drill | Don't Drill | Don't Drill | Don't Drill | Drill | Drill | Drill | Drill | Drill | Drill | |
| -133333 | Don't Drill | Don't Drill | Don't Drill | Drill | Drill | Drill | Drill | Drill | Drill | Drill | |
| -122222 | Don't Drill | Don't Drill | Don't Drill | Drill | Drill | Drill | Drill | Drill | Drill | Drill | |
| -111111 | Don't Drill | Don't Drill | Don't Drill | Drill | Drill | Drill | Drill | Drill | Drill | Drill | |
| -100000 | Don't Drill | Don't Drill | Don't Drill | Drill | Drill | Drill | Drill | Drill | Drill | Drill | |